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Hizbullah lured Israel into a trap

August 11, 2006

The guns have fallen silent, and Lebanese are streaming back to their homes in the south, cheering Hizbullah for giving Israel a bloody nose.

Considering that the aim of the conflict was to

  • destroy Hizbullah militarily
  • get the Lebanese to reject them politically

I think we can safely say that, for Israel, this campaign was an abject failure:

Hizbullah 2 – 0 Israel.

It seems that the whole thing was cooked up in advance by Bush and the Israelis, perhaps hoping to neutralise Hizbullah before a possible US attack on Iran. Or maybe they just wanted to kick some towelhead ass to make themselves feel better for the humiliation they have suffered in Iraq.

I am not a supporter of Hizbullah at all – in fact, the radicalisation of Islam scares me. The world is polarising and that is not good for anyone. But the Israelis deserved to lose this one, so please permit me a little schadenfreude.

They failed to factor in the fact that Hizbullah has been preparing for this, and the attack is just what they wanted: they lured Israel into a trap, knowing exactly which buttons to push to get them to behave the way they wanted. The Israelis are arrogant, self-righteous and aggressive, and the only language they understand is violence. Unfortunately for them, this is a language Hizbullah is fluent in.

Once the attack had started, and Israel realised it wasn’t going to be the turkey shoot they had planned for, they had three options, none of them good:

  • Continue with the aerial bombardment. They would have like this the most, because it doesn’t put their troops in danger. If you destroy the whole of south Lebanon, presumably you will destroy Hizbullah along with it. But this option would make Israel an absolute pariah – already there has been unprecedented condemnation from all over the world, and Israel’s PR machine has suffered what I believe is a permanent setback. No one is going to believe their stories about poor, beleaguered little Israel any more.
  • Send in ground troops. This is the only thing that might have worked to eradicate Hizbullah, but it would have been long and messy, and resulted in the deaths of a great many Israeli soldiers. Too expensive.
  • Call a ceasefire. This would have been tantamount to admitting defeat, which would have been psychologically devastating for a country that bases its self-esteem on its military prowess.

The UN brokered ceasefire – and the fact that they couldn’t resist a last bombing raid on Beirut a few minuted before it began – has allowed them to save face a little.

But they have lost, and have been humiliated. Since Israeli aggression is a cancer that has been poisoning peace in the world, this is a good thing.

Veteran Israeli peace campaigner Uri Avnery writes an excellent analysis of the failure of the Israeli army. For a more irreverent and humorous take on the whole debale, try War Nerd.

The fact that the Army of Darkness has been defeated, and the dogs of war reigned in, is cause for celebration. I’m off for a pint.

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5 Comments leave one →
  1. Rhys Wynne permalink
    August 18, 2006 10:15 am

    Helo, Rhys here from Wales.

    I came across this post, and though of you (as the only South African’n on my blogroll)

    Don’t know exactly what the guy has in mind or if you’d be interested.

  2. Rhys Wynne permalink
    August 18, 2006 10:17 am

    Doh! I just read the comments and saw you’d already replied – as you were.

  3. Dave permalink
    August 22, 2006 9:57 am

    Hi Wally,

    Considering Hizballah’s objectives were to kill as many Israelis as possible, recover the Shebaa farms and try and get as many terrorists released from Israeli jails in exchange for the 2 Israelis they kidnapped I would say the war was an abject failure for them.

    NONE, let me repeat that, NONE of their objectives were achieved, in fact Israel now have at least 15 more captured terrorist Hizballah “soldiers” than they did before the war.

    So pretty much Israel 1 – Terrorist Pigs 0

  4. Abe Bird permalink
    August 23, 2006 11:17 am

    You’re quite one sided judge…. Israel now wages the war through political channels and we have to wait and see. Militarily the HA has about 550 dead terrorists, ruin Beirut HQ and warehouses, Lebanese and foreign pressure to leave South Lebanon for legal Lebanese powers and so on.

    I don’t see how HA won that war which they wanted to stop from the first day.

  5. Dylan permalink
    September 13, 2006 5:12 am

    Jeez I wish peole would stop buying into the bush doctrine and glibly using the “T” word whenever it suits them…just commenting on the comments here. Nice post. great pic…a continuation in the comedy of those who still believe that conventional warfare can overcome guerilla tactics and a population that already has its hearts and minds resolved. The only people who really win here are US arms manufacturers. Im pretty sure those antitank missiles got to HA through the CIA. They were probably designed specifically for those tanks! HA needs more missiles, IA needs more tanks, shareholders in Halliburton need more space to put their money.

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